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Thursday, April 26, 2018

2018 NFL Draft: Value Prospects


Value ILB Prospects:

Genard Avery, Memphis 6’1 248: Round 5 or 6

He’s very powerful and very athletic. He also had many tackles for losses. He has some deficiencies but they are mostly in technique. He is a little slow off the ball though which is a concern. Either way his potential makes him a great pick in round 5 or 6.

Value Running Backs Prospects :

Saquon Barkley, Penn State, 6’0 233: First over all
The best. There’s nothing to say. He will be the best running back in a while.  

Nick Chubb, Georigia,  5’1 225: Round 2
He has a good career average of 6.5. Decent combine with good numbers in bench vert and very good broad. He has above average acceleration and power, which are his main strengths. He’s not super agile, but does have a good leg drive when he’s hit. He looks like he could be a beast behind a good offensive line. Maybe a one cut system. I think his injury slowed him down or he would be rated higher.

Rashaad Penny, San Diego State, 5’11 220: Round 3
His combine numbers are just okay other than his 40 time of 4.46. He needs to work on his hands and pass blocking, but he has effortless acceleration and a very good top speed. He also can hit you with power and then quick acceleration. He reminds me of David Johnson. Not super shifty, but that’s not his style.

Roc Thomas, Jacksonville St. 5’11 193: Round 6
 He’s a little small, but he has a good career average of 5.9. He is shifty and looks to have some potential.

Chase Edmonds, Fordham, 5’9 205: Round 7
He had very good stats until his injured senior year. He has a very good shuttle and cone but just okay other combine numbers. He’s very agile with a great spin move and quick side to side movement. He also has good acceleration but just average top speed. He’s a great prospect for the 7th round.  

Value Wide Receiver Prospects:

J’Mon Moore, Missouri,  6’3 207: Round 4
He has a great cone and shuttle and vertical. Two very good years with over a 16ypc average. He also averaged 9TDs his last two years. He’s raw, but very athletic. Worth a shot in rounds three or four.

Justin Watson, Pennsylvainia, 6’2 215: Round 5
He has great consistent stats with three years over 1k yards and an average of around 13.5 with 10 tds. He has a good 40 and vertical but just so so otherwise.

Damion Ratley, texas A&M, 6’2 196: Round 7
He has a good 40 and vertical, with a decent three cone. He has minimal production, but he did have one good year with a 23 yard average and almost 700 yards and 6tdd. He’s raw but worth a shot late.

Vyncint Smith, Limestone, 6’2 197: Round 6
He has a very good vertical and broad jump, with a decent cone and good 40. He has minimal catches but very good averages with not a bad senior year of 849 yards. He needs to develop his hands and routes but has potential because of his size and speed.  

Jaelon Acklin, Western Illinois, 6’1 185: Round 7
He is light but has good combine numbers. He has a great senior year with 1369 yards, 16.3 average, and 10td. He’s sudden out of breaks and runs smooth routes. He should work on his hands but is a great late round pick.

My Ranking and Thoughts on Top Qbs:


Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma:
He looks better than Sam Darnold to me. He has a quick release and pretty strong arm. He throws a better spiral than Darnold. And he has some running ability. The spread system inflated his stats, but he did have the best QBR of any QB. He has had years of success and looks like he has great potential.

Sam Darnold, USC:
Moves very well in the pocket, which lets him make plays. Good arm strength but not the most I’ve seen. He doesn’t always throw the nicest ball. He looks the part though and should be a solid QB.

Josh Allen, Wyoming:
I don’t like him and wouldn’t draft him in the first. It’s rare that QBs with poor college stats do well in the NFL. I’m not impressed. He has a strong arm, but not enough else.

Josh Rosen, UCLA:
I also don’t like him. He doesn’t have great stats and he has a weak arm. 


Disclaimer: I usually spend way more time analyzing data and game tape, but I had limited time this draft season. I like the prospects that I selected, but I missed other good ones for sure and I didn’t watch nearly as much video on the prospects that I normally would.  

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